“Flash” Debut Storms Out of the Gate

flash-logoThe series debut of The Flash debuted to a huge 4.79 million viewers and 1.9 A18-49, the strongest CW premiere since The Vampire Diaries. Overall, this was the SECOND biggest debut in CW history.

To put it in perspective how big The Flash opened, it actually rated higher than a number of series premieres on Fox, and finished THIRD in the hour. In addition, The Flash out performed a number of series on the night, including the entire ABC lineup (wow!).

Finally, The Flash scored the best viewership in the Tuesday 8 o’clock timeslot since series finale of Gilmore Girls (!!) in May 2007 and best demographic since the series premiere of 90210 in September 2008.  Yes, the premiere was THAT big for the CW.

The big numbers also pushed Supernatural to 2.48 million viewers and 1.1 A18-49.

Meanwhile, over at ABC, Tuesdays are quickly becoming a disaster yet again. Week two of Selfie and Manhattan Love Story fell to cancellation levels.  Selfie fell 25 percent to 3.99 million viewers and 1.2 A18-49 demo and Manhattan Love Story collapsed 40 percent to 3.27 million viewers and 0.9 A18-49.

foreverAt 10 o’clock, episode four of Forever started to level out, nabbing 5.35 million viewers and 1.3 A18-49 demo. Down only 7 percent from last week, Forever could end up being even when finals come in (edit: it didn’t adjust in finals).

After a big drop for Scorpion on Monday, CBS received better news for NCIS: New Orleans. Week three of the newest series in the franchise averaged 15.39 million viewers and 2.3 A18-49, even with last weeks performance. Look for a full season order any day now.

Updated with finals 10/8 at 738pm.

Which Returning Dramas Will Return Next Season?

There are 37 returning dramas this season, up five from last season.  CBS leads the pack with ten, ABC and CW follow up with eight each, NBC is close with seven, and FOX is far behind with four returning dramas.  Two dramas, Glee and Parenthood, have already been announced as heading into their final season.  That means a whopping 35 returning dramas have their fates left up in the air.  This is the first year I’ve decided to tackle all the returning dramas.

agents of shieldWhile far from a breakout hit, Agents of Shield put up respectable numbers throughout last season.  This year, its on the move to the tentpole 9 o’clock hour.  In addition to the original series, ABC has a spinoff in the works for mid-season (Agents of Carter).  Barring any major collapse, there is no reason to believe Agents of Shield is done just yet.
Chances of Returning: 100%

castleWhen it debuted in 2009, I didn’t think Castle would be around in 2014 for its seventh season.  ABC has had quite a tough time finding new pieces to its lineup, so the average (and steady) Castle has remained on the schedule.  I don’t see Castle coming to an end just yet, but it’ll likely wrap-up within the next two or three seasons.
Chances of Returning: 90%

GreysS8MainCastCan you believe Grey’s Anatomy is heading into its eleventh season?  It seems almost impossible that the serial medical drama has been able to last that long.  The series recently lost one of its original cast members (Sandra Oh), but that really hasn’t hurt Grey’s Anatomy in the past.  If anything, the move the 8 o’clock timeslot will dent Grey’s Anatomy a few tenths.  With rising costs, Grey’s Anatomy is going to have to end soon.  I’m thinking that means at least one more season after this one.
Chances of Returning: 90%

nashvillABC Studios owns Nashville, along with Lionsgate TV, which may be one of the main reasons the drama has been able to squeak by with low ratings (the music sales help too).  Nashville was one of the final renewals of the past season, and a lot of it had to do with costs.  Negotiations came down to the wire, with ABC scoring an incentive package with the state of Tennessee to keep the series in Nashville.  That helped bring the cost down by about $8 million dollars.  If ratings continue to slip, and ABC can’t find another tax break, the odds become stacked against Nashville.  It seems like too much to ask from a low-rated series.
Chances of Returning: 35%

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