Which Returning Dramas Will Return Next Season?

Which returning dramas will not make it to another season?  For my predictions, check out the article!

Returning this year on the drama side are a whopping 32 dramas.  The network tally is as follows, CBS leads with ten, CW is at seven, ABC and NBC are tied at third, each with six returning dramas, and FOX is at the bottom with only three. As of September 2013, two of those dramas knows where they stand after this season: Nikita, which is heading into its final season and Glee, which earned its two season renewal a few months ago  That means 31 dramas still have fates to be determined.  Unlike the comedy edition, I will be looking at only three dramas per network (two for FOX). Continue reading

Which Returning Comedies Will Return Next Season?

Which returning comedies will not make it to another season?  For my predictions, check out the article!

There are a total of 15 comedies returning to the broadcast networks this season.  ABC and CBS each have five, FOX has three, and NBC has a only two.  As of July 2013, one of those comedies knows where it stands after this season: How I Met Your Mother, which is heading into its final season.  That means 14 comedies still have fates to be determined.  Take a look at the situation for each of those 14 comedy series’ and their chances of returning beyond this season.

For the 2012 Predictions, Click Here

ABC’s Friday night comedy will once again be anchored by Last Man Standing, which held its own this past season, averaging close to 8 million viewers.  Unless a major collapse occurs, the show should be safe for a fourth season.  ABC does not own the series (20th Century FOX) but I do not see ABC cancelling one of the strongest Friday night series because of their lack of ownership.  Even with year-to-year losses likely to happen, it will remain one of the strongest scripted programs on the night, barring any major surprises.
Chances of Returning: 85%

ABC’s underrated, fan-favorite, The Middle, has successfully lead-off the Wednesday night comedy block for the past three seasons and heads back to that same timeslot this season.  very stable since moving to 8 o’clock, averaging over 8 million viewers in each of those seasons.  If any show has remained remarkably stable, that show is The Middle.  Unless the comedy sees a dramatic fall this upcoming season, it will return to the Wednesday 8/7c timeslot once again next year.
Chances of Returning: 100%

The number two comedy in all of television, Modern Family experienced small year-to-year declines this past season.  I would expect those declines to continue, but unless any of the new comedies are breakouts, it will remain the number two comedy.  I do not expect syndication to help the series this season.  If syndication does help the series, I do not think we will see any bumps until the following season.  Either way, there is no chance Modern Family is ending anytime soon.
Chances of Returning: 100%

To be honest, I was surprised to even hear The Neighbors would be returning for another season.  The show was the lowest-rated in ABC’s Wednesday night comedy block and went as low as a 1.4 A18-49.  With the show moving to Fridays (leading out of Last Man Standing) I can see the show losing even more of its already small audience.  Since one of the network comedies will have to make room for a new comedy the following season, I do not see The Neighbors advancing past a short thirteen episode second season.
Chances of Returning: 30%

If any show surprised me more this past season, it was Suburgatory.  In its freshman season, the show became a breakout hit, easily filling the bridge timeslot between The Middle and Modern Family.  When ABC announced it was getting the post-Modern Family timeslot I am sure nearly everyone predicted large year-to-year gains.  Instead, the show collapsed and fell to series lows.  In fact, Suburgatory flirted with cancellation up until ABC upfronts.  The network then announced Suburgatory would become a mid-season filler, losing its fall timeslot.  If ABC’s new comedies hit, Suburgatory is going to get the short end of the stick.  How quickly its fate changed!
Chances of Returning: 49%

Many pounced on CBS for moving 2 Broke Girls to the Monday 9 o’clock timeslot prematurely.  The show fell hard season-to-season.  Unlike a few commentators, I believe some of the loses are due to the increased competition (The Voice).  There is no telling how Two and a Half Men would have fared in the timeslot, but 2 Broke Girls held up as well as could have been expected.  With three new shows joining the Monday night lineup, I think we could see an even 2 Broke Girls this season.  Even if the show suffers year-to-year declines once again, I do not see a situation where the show is cancelled.
Chances of Returning: 100%

Is any renewal discussion even needed for broadcast televisions number one scripted series, The Big Bang Theory?  If there is a discussion of any kind, it would have to be this: can the show grow again and top its series high (20 million viewers, 6.4 A18-49). In my opinion, the growth has stopped.  The Big Bang Theory has reached its peak and it will be downhill from here.  If the show were to see a new series high, however, I would not be in the least bit surprised.  After all, did anyone expect a 6.4 A18-49 demo this past season?
Chances of Returning: 100%

CBS’ new utility player is Mike & Molly, filling the void left by the now-cancelled Rules of Engagement.  The most recent season of Mike & Molly was the weakest yet, but it still held its own throughout the season.  I would say the 22 episode fourth season order was a vote of confidence from the network.  Even with another year-to-year decline, I cannot see CBS pulling the plug on Mike & Molly just yet, especially with older comedies still airing on the network.
Chances of Returning: 95%

Eleven seasons.  I am quite honestly surprised to see Two and a Half Men on the air, especially with all the behind-the-scenes drama the show has endured.  CBS is giving Two and a Half Men a new timeslot, Thursdays at 930/830c – its third one is as many years.  With the move to the last half hour in a two hour comedy block, it spells bad news to me.  The show is a shell of its former self, both creatively and ratings wise.  If CBS has a lot of luck with its new comedies, Two and a Half Men will likely get the short-end of the stick.  I predicted a cancellation last season, so I am going to predict the same, giving the show a slightly worse chance.
Chances of Returning: 15%

Similar to The Neighbors, I was shocked when FOX gave The Mindy Project a second season renewal, especially since it was two months before upfronts were announced.  The season finale posted a small 1.3 A18-49, holding only 60% of its lead in.  If any of the new FOX comedies hit, I cannot see the network sticking with low ratings for another season.  The reviews have been positive for the The Mindy Project, but that is about the only good thing the show has going for it.  Unless a dramatic uptick occurs in season two, Mindy is done.
Chances of Returning: 25%

After having the lead-in of Glee for a season, FOX assigned New Girl to be the tentpole of a new two hour comedy block on Tuesday nights.  The results were less than stellar, with the show falling dramatically from season one, pegging low 2.0 A18-49’s nearly all season – a far cry from the 4.0+ for its series premiere.  FOX experienced hefty drops on a large majority of its schedule, making the decision to renew New Girl an easy one.  As with last season, it is hard to picture FOX cancelling its number one non-animated comedy.
Chances of Returning: 100%

Even though Raising Hope will never be a hit comedy, it has been a reliable option for FOX since its debut.  Heading into its fourth season, Raising Hope is scheduled to move to its fourth different timeslot: Fridays at 9/8c.  I am a bit skeptical the move will ever happen, especially since its not scheduled to happen until November.  If anything, its a timeslot for the show while the network waits to see which of its new comedies will fail.  If the move to Friday does actually happen, I believe this could possibly be the final season of Raising Hope.  However, I am going to stay positive and say the show advances to a fifth season.
Chances of Returning: 51%

For the past two seasons, Community has cheated death.  The show squeaked out another last-minute renewal and with the fifth season debut, it will regain its creator, Dan Harmon.  Similar to season four, Community will once again take on a midseason role, filling in for wherever NBC may need the help.  Since the network has a slew of new comedies in the wings, Community is going to have post year-to-year gain to have any shot at a sixth season.  The show has been lucky before, but I think the luck is about to run out.
Chances of Returning: 5%

NBC’s highest rated comedy, Parks and Recreation, returns for full 22 episode sixth season.  The show finished its season with a respectable 1.6 A18-49, better than every other NBC comedy that week (excluding The Office).  This season, the show moves to one of the roughest timeslots in all of television: Thursdays at 8/7c, against The Big Bang Theory.  I believe ratings in the vicinity of Community (1.1-1.3) are to be expected.  Community made it this far with low ratings, so it would leave me to believe Parks and Recreation can get one additional season with those type of ratings.
Chances of Returning: 51%

Which Returning Dramas Will End This Season?


There are a total of 32 dramas returning to the broadcast networks this season.  CBS leads the pack with eleven, followed by ABC with seven, CW with six, and FOX and NBC both with four.  As of August 20, 2012, two (Gossip Girl and Fringe) have already been given orders for this to be their final season.  That means a whopping 30 dramas still have fates that have yet to be determined.  Take a look at some and what their chances may be to come back for another season.  Then take your opinion to the comments section, and vote in the poll.

If any show is highly dependent on a lead in, it would have to be Body of Proof.  Just take a look at some of the evidence: 10.51 million viewers and 2.0 demographic behind Dancing with the Stars: Results Show.  Just two weeks prior, Body of Proof had 7.45 million viewers and a 1.4 demo.  It’s series low, however, remains at 1.2 demo – much lower than some of it’s high points.  Going into it’s third season, Body of Proof is dumping half of it’s cast, has an order for only thirteen episodes, and will likely have low ratings once again.  To me, it screams cancellation, but it could mean something entirely different for ABC.
Chances of Returning: 30%

Scandal is an interesting case for ABC.  The show had some of the most solid ratings I’ve seen in quite some time.  It scored a 2.0 in its first four weeks on the air, dipped to a 1.9 the next two weeks, then jumped up to a 2.3 for its finale.  Any show that holds its audience like that deserves a renewal – whichever network it may be.  However, will Scandal be able to grow from that point, or is it stuck in the low 2.0 demos?  One thing that is working in Scandal’s favor is the fact that ABC has only two new dramas on hold for midseason.  With Private Practice heading into its (likely) final season, that’s one hole ABC will have to work around.  Scandal may be able to squeak out a renewal just due to the lack of product on ABC.
Chances of Returning: 75%

In 2012, CBS said good-bye to CSI: Miami, marking the first cancellation for a series in the CSI Franchise.  In 2013, CBS may be ready to let go of yet another – and it still won’t be the original series.   CSI: NY, which is heading into its ninth season this year, looks to be on the way out.  CBS gave it a renewal, but moved it to 8pm, and gave it a shortened order for 18 episodes.  On top of that, the ratings really started to slip at the end of last season. It’s season finale recorded a low 1.2 demo, despite having over 9 million viewers.  With a move to the lower HUT timeslot of 8pm, it’s very likely that those ratings will slip even further in the spring.  As the series continues to get older, the costs will only keep increasing, and with lower ratings, CBS can only take a hit for so long before they swing the ax down.
Chances of Returning: 0%

After three full seasons on the air, The Good Wife has shown that it’ll probably never be a hit ratings wise.  Among the critics, however, it’s one of CBS’ most popular series.  If the show has been given a full 22 episode season, the show will have 90 episodes, which is more than enough to get it into syndication (should a network decide to buy it).  Going into its fourth season, it’s very likely that the show will continue a decline in viewership and the demographic – especially with overrun by the NFL.  The Good Wife has had plenty of critical acclaim the past few seasons, but was snubbed in the Best Drama category this year.  With expected-declining ratings, a loss of major awards, and a series that is increasing in cost, will CBS keep it going much longer?
Chances of Returning: 49%

One show that has generated a lot of debate on numerous ratings website is Nikita.  The show has never been a hit, but has done enough to make it to its third season this fall.  Airing on Friday nights, it’ll be the CW’s only drama on the night this fall.  With a rapidly declining ‘Top Model’ as Nikita’s lead in, how well can it really do?  The CW has a problem with “having enough products on the shelves”, but they do look like they are turning a corner.  IF they find enough new series next season (2013-14), Nikita will be one of the first shows out the door.  If the show holds steady, and so close to syndication, it will be back for its fourth season.  The CW is in such bad shape that the only thing holding Nikita from a fourth season renewal is, well, Nikita.
Chances of Returning: 51%

Betting on a show to return next season?  If so, then The Vampire Diaries is the one show you would be able to safely put your money on.  In the short history of the CW network, they have rarely had a show break the 1.0 demo barrier.  The Vampire Diaries, however, accomplishes such a feat nearly every time it airs.  If The Vampire Diaries has failed anywhere, it’s launching a show in the timeslot directly after it.  Supernatural and Nikita were both shipped to Friday nights and The Secret Circle was cancelled after only a season – all unable to hold onto the huge (for CW standards) lead in.  Now heading into its fourth season, The Vampire Diaries will become the lead in for the fourth different show (Beauty and the Beast).  Even with that, The Vampire Diaries is the CW’s only hit.
Chances of Returning: 100%

Bones has always been a solid utility player for FOX.  They have aired it on nearly every night, in nearly every timeslot.  A show that can survive those conditions for this long deserves kudos.  However, now heading into its eighth season, that luck seems to be running out for Bones.  The finale scored an only okay 1.9 demo, against somewhat stiff competition.  Heading back into that timeslot again this season, it seems as if those ratings will be as good as it gets.  Will FOX accept a 1.9 demo for a drama that could be heading into its ninth season?  As it is only one of four dramas on the network, FOX will need some stability for the 2013-2014 season.  If The Following and The Mob Doctor both become hits, FOX will most likely cut all ties with Bones.
Chances of Returning: 40%

Glee is yet another interesting case.  The show started slow in its first season, took off in the second, and then came back down to Earth in its third.  The show is nowhere near as big a hit as it once was, but it’s still a solid show.  FOX seems to be telling us that they want to keep it going by giving it the lead in of The X-Factor.  With a bigger lead in, it’s very possible that the series with either A) hold its okay ratings or B) grow again.  However, it is also possible that the ratings declines will continue, even with a very compatible lead in.  The cast additions/changes as well as the loss of critical acclaim could put a dent in the series.  Even with all the calls for FOX to pull the plug, I still think there is a bit of life left in this highly-annoying, yet profit-making series.
Chances of Returning: 80%

Fourteen seasons.  When it premiered way back in 1999, I’m sure no one expected Law and Order: Special Victims Unit to last this long.  This season, SVU will air its 300th episode, an episode total few primetime shows can say they have reached.  After hitting series lows in the second half of its thirteenth season, the show did rebound to a 2.0 demo for its  finale.  It’s expected that the show will do about that for its premiere, but it’ll be all downhill from there.  With more competition in its new timeslot (Wednesdays at 9 – again) ratings will most likely dip once again.  Another strike against the series is the increasing cost of a show that has been on this long.  Mariska Hargitay doesn’t come cheap, and neither does the rest of the cast, most of which has been on since the very beginning.  If NBC finds new hit dramas, it’ll be on the way out in May.  If NBC continues to flounder, SVU may be able to squeak out another season.
Chances of Returning: 30%

Parenthood has been very middle of the road since it premiered in 2010.  Like most of what is on NBC, it’s very likely that Parenthood has gotten a fourth season due to the rest of NBC’s series failing.  Each time a new season premieres, Parenthood holds onto its finale audience, but after that, it’s a slow decline, and then stabilization.  The show got into a bit of trouble after its holiday hiatus in December, but as I said before, it stabilized around there.  Parenthood will have 68 episodes after the end of its fourth season, which is close to syndication levels, but not quite there.  As NBC Universal owns the show, they will reap any profit the show may bring in (should that after happen).  Like the rest of what’s on NBC, it’s renewal hinges on if they finally find a new hit series.
Chances of Returning: 60%

Which Returning Comedies Will End This Season?


There are a total of 25 comedies returning to the broadcast networks this season.  ABC, CBS, and NBC each have six comedies, with FOX at seven (which includes Animation Domination).  As of August 15, 2012, four (The Big Bang Theory, American Dad, Family Guy, The Simpsons) have been renewed through next season, with one (30 Rock) coming to an end.  That means 20 comedies still have fates to be determined.  To take a look at some and what their chances may be to come back for another season, click to read the article!

ABC’s number one comedy is a lock for yet another season on the network.  The show is a critical darling, and still has a very solid fan base heading into its fourth season.  Even with an expected drop this season, the show will in all likelihood remain number one for ABC.  If anything, we should be guessing if Modern Family will still be on the air five seasons from now (and my answer would probably be the same).
Chances of Returning: 100%


Only seven episodes aired during its first season, so trying to figure out its fate may be a bit more difficult.  From the beginning of its season to the end, Don’t Trust the B—- in Apartment 23 shed about 21% of its demographic audience.  Even with a new episode of Modern Family as a lead in, the show did fall below a 2.0 demo.  When the show moves to its new timeslot this fall (Tuesdays at 930/830c, behind Happy Endings) the ratings may go even further.  With two new comedies waiting in the wings for ABC, Apartment 23 has to come out of the gate swinging.  If not, it may be headed towards a quick sophomore season cancellation.
Chances of Returning: 25%
It seems as if no matter how hard CBS tries, Rules of Engagement comes back for another season.  The show has only had a full season ONCE in its entire seven season run -back in its fifth season.  Besides that, Rules of Engagement has had anywhere between seven and fifteen episodes a season.  The show is always a solid utility player wherever it may placed, but it’s never broken out like the other comedies on CBS’ schedule.  After seven seasons, however, it appears that Rules of Engagement may finally be on its way out.  It’s renewal didn’t occur until after upfronts, and its only for a thirteen episode season.  The series has been in similar situations before, but you can only cheat death so many times.  For now, it appears that its nine lives are now up.
Chances of Returning: 0%


Two and a Half Men has escaped death before, but just narrowly.  When Charlie Sheen was fired from the show, it appeared that Two and a Half Men was done.  Yet, CBS reworked the show with Warner Brothers, and brought it back with Ashton Kutcher. The show hit a series high in his first episode, but slowly declined from there, and eventually hit series lows.  In all reality, the show was going to fall to series lows with or without Charlie Sheen, given it was going into its ninth season.  This fall, the show will be heading into its tenth (!) season, something many comedies have failed to do.  With a new timeslot on the way, it seems as if CBS is planning for the end.  Current talks are that How I Met Your Mother may be coming back for another season, which seems like another point against Two and a Half Men.  CBS won’t risk losing two big comedies in one season, so one has to go this season.  If the ratings are huge though, will CBS be ready to cut the chord and let the show have a respectable finish?

Chances of Returning: 30%


FOX’s number one comedy came roaring out of the gate last season.  If I’m not mistaken, nearly no one expected a huge 10 million viewers and a whopping 4.8 demo.  That even outpaced the season premiere of Glee by one million viewers and eight tenths in the demo!  It wasn’t all good news for New Girl.  When FOX experimented with its two hour comedy block, New Girl fell as low as a 2.2 demo.  The show did eventually rebound when Glee returned as its lead in, but it was still a shell of its former self (after only one season).  This fall, New Girl will be airing as a part of the two hour comedy block once again.  FOX is hoping that two new comedies will give the series higher ratings, but its entirely possible it’ll stay as low as a 2.2 demo once again.  Even with that, it’s hard to see FOX cancelling it’s number one comedy.
Chances of Returning: 100%


Even though Raising Hope will never become a breakout hit for FOX, it’s still been a reliable performer.  FOX has struggled with comedies since the networks inception, but they’ve found a few along the way.  Since its premiere back in 2010, Raising Hope has hovered around a 2.0 demo, which is good enough to squeeze out a renewal.  Like New Girl, however, Raising Hope also took a hit when the two hour comedy block went into effect.  The show dipped to series lows in its 8pm timeslot, where it will also air this fall.  It’s possible that Raising Hope could recover, but its also possible that the lower ratings will stick around.  Raising Hope has to stay above a 2.0 demo, or it will be out the door after three seasons.
Chances of Returning: 51%


Now onto NBC, which may be the hardest to read this season.  With so many random renewals, the one that made the most sense was Parks and Recreation.  While never a huge hit for NBC, the series has been an okay performer for the struggling network.  When you have nearly nothing that performs, you have to take what you can get.  This year, Parks and Recreation was one of the few NBC series to get a full 22 episode season.  Whether that be to get it closer to syndication levels quicker, or just to put something on the air, it has to mean something.  Now that The Office is heading into its ninth (and likely final) season, NBC needs something familiar on the air next season.  With the lead in of NBC’s number one comedy (The Office), Parks and Recreation is likely to do fine (1.7-1.9 demo) this season.
Chances of Returning: 75%

If there is one show that has generated a lot of debate, it would have to be Whitney.  Just why in the world did NBC renew a comedy that was below average – at best – anyways.  Did the network executives see the improved reviews?  Were they expecting viewers who enjoy mulit-camera comedies to flock to the show?  Or is it possible that Whitney was renewed just to fill a timeslot?  Whatever it may be, Whitney is on the fall schedule.  The odds are already stacked against Whitney once again this year. It’s only one of two multi-camera comedies on the network, it will be airing on Friday night, and viewers have already tried the series – with most rejecting it.  Whitney did pull a 1.6 demo for its season finale, which was only one tenth behind the season finale of Parks and Recreation.  If it can hover around a 1.4-1.6 demo on Friday nights, NBC would have no choice to renew the series.  Who knows, this could be the next According to Jim or ‘Til Death and run for years!
Chances of Returning: 49%

This is just eight of the twenty possibilities.  To share what you think, just comment below.  You can also vote in the poll, which is open for one week.

COMING NEXT WEEK: Dramas